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There are complex methods in project management, ranging from
simple scheduling to multi-project planning with resources. The
actual integration of project planning into business process is
the difficult part. Lack of acceptance and inconsistent execution
are two hurdles which many project management systems fail to overcome.
Controlling and reporting mechanisms regulate ongoing planning and
plans.
The project information center "Prin(z)" covers two substantial
inspection procedures, the milestone and the cost trend analyses.
With its extensive report possibilities and various interfaces,
Prin(z) offers badly needed project controlling to your business.
Evolution of project management tools
More and more projects are planned and logged in cooperation. The
current development of tools mirrors the this trend: Three important
developments have arisen: First, increasing quantities of project
data are stored in efficient, relational databases (e.g. Project
Central / Microsoft Project ®). Second, managing projects in
networked, browser based systems (e.g. Actano RPLAN ®). And
third, project planning has embedded itself in process management
(e.g. ProcessContinuum / Project Planner ®).
Focusing on project processes
Due to overlaps and parallelisms, projects can no longer be considered
as serial process chains, rather they are a process network. Process
steps are milestones in a development cycle which give feedback
information about reaching a desired status or a given target. Milestones
represent the turning points of one process part to further follow-up
processes and all linked tasks.
Therefor, the effects of a milestone shift are more global than
in a serial process chain; parallel and overlapping process shifts
have effects on the entire network. If or when a milestone shifts
it has direct effects on the process success.
In addition, due to hard competition development times have become
shorter. Floats are usually omitted completely and more and more
process steps run parallel. The shift of only one milestone can
involve the missing of delivery dates or the delay of follow-up
orders, which might have direct consequences to cash flow. To react
to negative developments quickly, it is necessary to analyze milestones
regularly.
Project control & project reports
During the course of a project, date deviations occur. The plan
is updated and differences in the comparison of planned and actual
values show up. These differences, however don't tell the whole
picture. When projects last many years, a single delay is unlikely
to endanger the finishing date, however if the dates of a work package
shift very often, further delays become very likely. Thus, extensions
of deadlines become interesting only in chronological comparison,
overviewing all modifications at one point of time, because they
enable forecasts based on the existing trend.
Milestones are the perfect point of reference for chronologic comparisons
as they are project-crucial processes. A 'Milestone Trend Analysis'
(MTA) takes the modifications of the milestone dates and visualizes
them in a diagram.
Considering the planning of an individual project in a process network,
strategic decisions can be derived for the improvement and adjustment
of the entire process definition by comparing selected milestones
in different projects or processes. Continual shifts of a milestone
in a certain process can refer to a general fault in the process
definition.
Milestone Trend Analyses (MTAs) are used very successfully in many
R&D areas, however they are usually created manually and not
using the assigned project management system.
Trends are represented in an MTA chart:

The horizontal axis of the triangle raster represents the reporting
period is laid and the vertical axis represents the planning period
with an identical time scale. The milestones are differentiated
by symbols or colours and updated periodically. Each update creates
a new entry, so each milestone is represented by a polygon. If the
reported milestone date deviates from the originally planned date,
the polygon leaves the horizontal line:
Horizontal line> deadline is kept
Rising line> deadline is exceeded at each reporting date
Falling line > milestone is due to be accomplished earlier and
earlier.
Typical MTA curves:

a) normal lines
A typical course of the curve during 'normal' implementation of
the project. Small deviations of a deadline are balanced up- and
downwards. The probability for meeting the final date is high.
b) steep rising lines
Date predictions were too optimistic. The completion date of the
project will not be met.

c) turn of trend lines
Until a shortly before the scheduled completion, the deadlines appeared
to be accurate. Towards the end, sudden & substantial extensions
of deadlines were announced. Date predictions were unrealistic;
a timely control intervention was made impossible.
d) diverging lines
If interdependent work packages diverge in their date predictions
strongly, then very likely one of the tendencies is not realistic.
The project planning must be revised.

e) falling lines
If all milestone lines indicate a constant date advancement, assumingly
planned floats were too large. The responsible planners should be
more optimistic in their future predictions.
f) zigzag line
If all milestone paths show a repetitive zigzag, this reveals a
substantial uncertainty in date predictions. Thus also the prediction
of the final completion date is to be regarded as extremely uncertain.
Return on investment (ROI)
The advantages of a graphically visualized milestone trend
analysis for the enterprise might already be seen after a few report
dates. Coworkers develop a increased awareness for deadlines, since
the date development is graphically obvious for them. A copy of
the diagrams, either as hardcopy or email (e.g. as pdf), is also
a good basis for communication in and before the meeting-hours of
the project team. Improvements for future project plans & processes
can be derived from the predictions of the trend analysis: It becomes
easier to realistically calculated customer estimates. If extensions
of deadlines are foreseen in time and agreed upon with the customer,
contract penalties can be avoided or at least reduced. Delayed invoices
resulting from project delays can be accomodated for in liquidity
plans.
MTA is the most important instrument for controlling
deadlines
Burghardt, M. (2001). Introduction to project management.
Publicis MCD, ISBN 3895781630.
What is cost trend analysis?
Cost trend analysis (CTA) is a method for controlling
costs in projects.
The planned cost line (base line) is compared
to the actual costs (actual). If deviations occur, a cost
divergence shows up between these lines in the
course of the project. Additionally a forecast (preview) can be
generated for an effort estimation or cost estimation.

Comparing planned to actual costs is an essential
project control method
Burghardt, M. (2001). Introduction to project management.
Publicis MCD, ISBN 3895781630.
Execution in practice
Many enterprises still do trend analyses on 'black boards' or Word
processors due to missing software support. An uncontrolled growth
of most diverse graphs is developed, which are only isolated solutions.
These procedures are unsuitable for establishing an enterprise-wide
standard for project controlling.
Prin(z) - the project information center
Prin(z) closes the gap and helps to integrate recognized standard
analysis methods in project management into your business. In addition
to the main features MTA (milestone trend analysis) and CTA (cost
trend analysis), Prin(z) offers a logging function, flexible and
global reporting, multiplicity of organizational possibilities and
import/export filters. As an Add-On product for PM systems Prin(z)
can be used standalone or with interfaces to Microsoft Project ®
or Actano RPlan ®.
Advantages of the Prin(z)-MTA
- planned/actual comparison of milestone dates
- project-to-project comparison of milestones
- visualization in an MTA chart
- traffic light for milestones' status
- documentation of the most important plan modifications
- logging function for risk/problems and planned
internal actions/solutions
- export as text file or diagram
- clear and uniform reporting
- enables an easy interpretation and thus a fast reaction to date
delays

Advantages of the Prin(z)-CTA
- planned/actual comparison for efforts/costs
- status is plotted (planned costs, actual costs, trend,
budget ...)
- export as text file or diagram
- documentation of the most important cost modifications
- logging function for risk/problems and planned
internal actions/solutions
- clear and uniform reporting
- enables an easy interpretation and a fast reaction to cost changes

 
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